Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Meadowbank
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.51) 0.88 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 24.2% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dorking Wanderers 0 7.8% 6.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 11.5% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDorking WanderersChesham United
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack55%55%
Defense75%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dorking Wanderers Chesham United
HATHAT
Played171633161632
Wins88%31%61%50%44%47%
Draws6%31%18%19%25%22%
Loses6%38%21%31%31%31%

Form: Dorking Wanderers: DLWLWWLWDDLDWWWWLWLWWWWLDWWWWWWDW • Chesham United: WWDDLLDDLWDWLWWDLLLWLWWLWWDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Dorking Wanderers Chesham United
HATHAT
GF total392261211940
GF avg2.31.41.81.31.21.3
GA total162339141832
GA avg0.91.41.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDorking WanderersChesham United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%73%72%72%
1.567%36%31%22%
2.521%9%13%6%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDorking WanderersChesham United
HATHAT
Clean sheets729549
Failed to score235549

Penalties

MetricDorking WanderersChesham United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricDorking WanderersChesham United
Wins64
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-11-4
Biggest losses0-32-01-23-0
Goals For5244
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricDorking WanderersChesham United
Form52%48%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h67%33%
Goals80%20%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Dorking Wanderers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away5.11 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dorking Wanderers = 1.67 (league 1.51), Chesham United = 0.88 (league 1.22)

Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dorking Wanderers 0 7.8% 6.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.0% 11.5% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.0% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1