Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.52)
1.57 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.9% | 24.4% | 41.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horsham | 0 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 42% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 29% | 41% | 35% | 59% | 47% | 53% |
| Draws | 41% | 35% | 38% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
| Loses | 29% | 24% | 26% | 12% | 35% | 24% |
Form: Horsham: LLDWLDWWLDDWWWWDWDDWDWLLDLWDLDDLWD • AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDLWLDWLWWLDWLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 22 | 44 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 21 | 15 | 36 | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 71% | 82% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 26% | 50% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 6% | 26% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Horsham | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Horsham or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Horsham = 1.37 (league 1.52), AFC Hornchurch = 1.57 (league 1.22)
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horsham | 0 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 41.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
