Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.52)
0.79 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | 27.9% | 21.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Maidenhead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Worthing | 0 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Worthing | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 83% | 58% |
| Defense | 58% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Worthing | Maidenhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 17 | 35 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| Wins | 61% | 41% | 51% | 56% | 39% | 47% |
| Draws | 33% | 6% | 20% | 19% | 22% | 21% |
| Loses | 6% | 53% | 29% | 25% | 39% | 32% |
Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWWWWWDLDLLDDLWWLW • Maidenhead: LDDLWWWWWWLDLLLLLWWWWDLWWDLDWDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Worthing | Maidenhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 46 | 30 | 76 | 27 | 22 | 49 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 28 | 42 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Worthing | Maidenhead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 74% | 74% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 66% | 26% | 44% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 14% | 15% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 3% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Worthing | Maidenhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Worthing | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 75.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 25.00% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Worthing | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-4 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Worthing | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Maidenhead
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 1.37 (league 1.52), Maidenhead = 0.79 (league 1.22)
| Maidenhead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Worthing | 0 | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 21.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1