Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.53) 0.91 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 20.5% 15.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingChelmsford City
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack55%100%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.216 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Chelmsford City
HATHAT
Played191837171734
Wins58%39%49%53%47%50%
Draws37%6%22%18%18%18%
Loses5%56%30%29%35%32%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWWWWWDLDLLDDLWWLWLD • Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWLLLWLWLWWWLWDDWWWD

League goals

Metric Worthing Chelmsford City
HATHAT
GF total463076262753
GF avg2.41.72.11.51.61.6
GA total142943212243
GA avg0.71.61.21.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingChelmsford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%73%79%65%
1.562%24%35%35%
2.538%14%18%12%
3.522%3%12%9%
4.58%3%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingChelmsford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets91106612
Failed to score369257

Penalties

MetricWorthingChelmsford City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total32

Streaks

MetricWorthingChelmsford City
Wins74
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-57-10-5
Biggest losses0-15-42-55-0
Goals For5575
Goals Against3555

Model comparison

MetricWorthingChelmsford City
Form39%61%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Worthing or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 2.04 (league 1.53), Chelmsford City = 0.91 (league 1.23)

Chelmsford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 5.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.7% 9.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 15.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1