Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.58)
0.89 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.1% | 21.1% | 16.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Chelmsford City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Worthing | 0 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Worthing | Chelmsford City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 55% | 100% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Worthing | Chelmsford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 18 | 37 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 58% | 39% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 50% |
| Draws | 37% | 6% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| Loses | 5% | 56% | 30% | 29% | 35% | 32% |
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Chelmsford CityWDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWLLLWLWLWWWLWDDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Worthing | Chelmsford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 46 | 30 | 76 | 26 | 27 | 53 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 29 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Worthing | Chelmsford City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 73% | 79% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 24% | 35% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 14% | 18% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 3% | 12% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 3% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Worthing | Chelmsford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Worthing | Chelmsford City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Worthing | Chelmsford City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-5 | 7-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-4 | 2-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Worthing | Chelmsford City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
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League standings
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