Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 •
Melbourne Stadium
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.51)
0.98 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 26.2% | 25.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Dover | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelmsford City | 0 | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 83% | 50% |
| Defense | 78% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 20 | 18 | 38 |
| Wins | 56% | 44% | 50% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 17% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 22% | 26% |
| Loses | 28% | 39% | 33% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWLLLWLWLWWWLWDDWWWDLW • Dover: LWWWLLDWDDLDDDLLDWWWWLLLLWLLWLDLDWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 27 | 55 | 35 | 18 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 21 | 24 | 45 | 32 | 25 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelmsford City | Dover | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 64% | 84% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 42% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 11% | 8% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Dover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-5 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-0 | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Dover |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Chelmsford City or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 1.48 (league 1.51), Dover = 0.98 (league 1.22)
| Dover | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelmsford City | 0 | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 25.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1