Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • Longmead Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.55) 1.71 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.4% 23.4% 43.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ebbsfleet United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tonbridge Angels 0 4.2% 7.3% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.5% 9.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTonbridge AngelsEbbsfleet United
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack29%71%
Defense71%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tonbridge Angels Ebbsfleet United
HATHAT
Played202141212041
Wins30%38%34%57%35%46%
Draws35%19%27%29%25%27%
Loses35%43%39%14%40%27%

Form: Tonbridge Angels: DLDDLDLWWWLDDWLLDLWLWDLLDDWWLDLLWWLWLWWWL • Ebbsfleet United: WWWLDLDDLDWLWWWLWLDLWWWWWLWDDDWDLDDWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Tonbridge Angels Ebbsfleet United
HATHAT
GF total302454362763
GF avg1.51.11.31.71.41.5
GA total302757203050
GA avg1.51.31.41.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTonbridge AngelsEbbsfleet United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%78%88%68%
1.541%37%46%37%
2.517%17%15%15%
3.52%7%5%2%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTonbridge AngelsEbbsfleet United
HATHAT
Clean sheets5499413
Failed to score5712055

Penalties

MetricTonbridge AngelsEbbsfleet United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total14

Streaks

MetricTonbridge AngelsEbbsfleet United
Wins35
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-34-01-4
Biggest losses2-44-11-34-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricTonbridge AngelsEbbsfleet United
Form50%50%
Att29%71%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ebbsfleet United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ BetVictor
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tonbridge Angels = 1.45 (league 1.55), Ebbsfleet United = 1.71 (league 1.23)

Ebbsfleet United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tonbridge Angels 0 4.2% 7.3% 6.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.5% 9.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.5% 7.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 43.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1