Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 •
Gallagher Stadium
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.53)
0.97 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.4% | 23.2% | 20.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maidstone Utd | 0 | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 21 | 40 |
| Wins | 57% | 30% | 44% | 53% | 48% | 50% |
| Draws | 19% | 30% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% |
| Loses | 24% | 40% | 32% | 21% | 29% | 25% |
Form: Maidstone Utd: DDWWDDLLLWDWWWLLWLLWWDWWDLWDLLLDDWWWLWWLW • AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDLWLDWLWWLDWLLLWWLWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 25 | 60 | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 14 | 29 | 43 | 22 | 33 | 55 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 63% | 83% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 24% | 55% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 15% | 23% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 2% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maidstone Utd | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Maidstone Utd or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maidstone Utd = 1.78 (league 1.53), AFC Hornchurch = 0.97 (league 1.23)
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maidstone Utd | 0 | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 20.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1