Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Melbourne Stadium
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.55)
1.07 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.6% | 31.5% | 40.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Maidenhead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelmsford City | 0 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 21 | 42 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 52% | 43% | 48% | 59% | 38% | 49% |
| Draws | 19% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 38% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
Form: Chelmsford City: WDLWDWLLWDLLWWWWLLLWLWLWWWLWDDWWWDLWLLWDWD • Maidenhead: LDDLWWWWWWLDLLLLLWWWWDLWWDLDWDWWLWWDWLWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 33 | 66 | 39 | 25 | 64 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 24 | 31 | 55 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 64% | 77% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 49% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 14% | 14% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 5 | 83.33% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 1 | 16.67% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelmsford City | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.4% | 58.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Maidenhead
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chelmsford City = 0.83 (league 1.55), Maidenhead = 1.07 (league 1.23)
| Maidenhead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelmsford City | 0 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 40.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1