Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Hornchurch Stadium
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.55)
1.25 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 23.5% | 27.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ebbsfleet United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 50% | 55% |
| Defense | 59% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 22 | 42 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 55% | 45% | 50% | 59% | 38% | 49% |
| Draws | 25% | 23% | 24% | 27% | 24% | 26% |
| Loses | 20% | 32% | 26% | 14% | 38% | 26% |
Form: AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDLWLDWLWWLDWLLLWWLWDLWDWL • Ebbsfleet United: WWWLDLDDLDWLWWWLWLDLWWWWWLWDDDWDLDDWWLWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 39 | 74 | 40 | 29 | 69 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 22 | 38 | 60 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 76% | 88% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 12% | 16% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 75.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 25.00% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Hornchurch | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ebbsfleet United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Hornchurch = 1.74 (league 1.55), Ebbsfleet United = 1.25 (league 1.23)
| Ebbsfleet United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | 0 | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 27.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1