Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 18:45 • Mill Farm Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.04 (league 1.49) 0.24 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.2% 3.1% 0.6%
best score tips
4 - 0
15.3%
3 - 0
15.2%
5 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.3% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.4% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeChester
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack53%21%
Defense68%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde Chester
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%67%83%67%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%0%100%50%

Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWW • Chester: WLDLWL

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde Chester
HATHAT
GF total6713617
GF avg2.02.32.22.00.31.2
GA total3584913
GA avg1.01.71.31.33.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeChester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%67%100%
1.567%50%33%67%
2.550%0%17%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeChester
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeChester
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeChester
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-2
Biggest losses2-14-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeChester
Form75%25%
Att71%29%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total74.0%26.0%

Advice: Winner : AFC Fylde

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 4.04 (league 1.49), Chester = 0.24 (league 1.23)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.3% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.3% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.4% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.2% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1