Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 18:45 • The Leasing.com Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.49) 1.62 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 22.7% 35.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macclesfield 0 3.4% 5.6% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.0% 9.8% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.3% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacclesfieldMerthyr Town
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack32%42%
Defense74%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Macclesfield Merthyr Town
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%33%67%50%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%17%67%33%50%

Form: Macclesfield: WLWDDW • Merthyr Town: WWLWLL

League goals

Metric Macclesfield Merthyr Town
HATHAT
GF total6394610
GF avg2.01.01.51.32.01.7
GA total3366410
GA avg1.01.01.02.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacclesfieldMerthyr Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%83%50%
1.550%17%50%50%
2.517%0%33%50%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacclesfieldMerthyr Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMacclesfieldMerthyr Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMacclesfieldMerthyr Town
Wins12
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-00-3
Biggest losses2-11-34-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against1234

Model comparison

MetricMacclesfieldMerthyr Town
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Macclesfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away5.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Macclesfield = 1.75 (league 1.49), Merthyr Town = 1.62 (league 1.23)

Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Macclesfield 0 3.4% 5.6% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.0% 9.8% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.3% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 35.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1