Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • Mill Farm
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.49) 0.84 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 20.5% 14.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Leamington
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 5.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeLeamington
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack100%46%
Defense62%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde Leamington
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%80%78%60%0%33%
Draws25%0%11%0%50%22%
Loses0%20%11%40%50%44%

Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWW • Leamington: DLDWLWWLL

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde Leamington
HATHAT
GF total81523639
GF avg2.03.02.61.20.81.0
GA total56116612
GA avg1.31.21.21.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeLeamington
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%78%67%78%
1.578%44%33%44%
2.556%0%0%11%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeLeamington
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeLeamington
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeLeamington
Wins42
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-52-1
Biggest losses2-10-22-0
Goals For3522
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeLeamington
Form68%32%
Att70%30%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Winner : AFC Fylde

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Superbet
Draw5.54 @ Pinnacle
Away10.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.02 (league 1.49), Leamington = 0.84 (league 1.23)

Leamington
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 5.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.5% 9.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1