Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • The Impact Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.49) 1.58 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 24.8% 44.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 6.0% 9.4% 7.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.4% 11.7% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownAFC Telford United
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack29%64%
Defense36%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town AFC Telford United
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%50%0%25%
Draws25%50%38%25%50%38%
Loses50%50%50%25%50%38%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLD • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town AFC Telford United
HATHAT
GF total3367512
GF avg0.80.80.81.81.31.5
GA total610164913
GA avg1.52.52.01.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownAFC Telford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%88%88%
1.525%63%38%50%
2.50%25%25%25%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownAFC Telford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownAFC Telford United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownAFC Telford United
Wins12
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-0
Biggest losses0-35-00-13-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownAFC Telford United
Form42%58%
Att31%69%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alfreton Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.70 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 1.24 (league 1.49), AFC Telford United = 1.58 (league 1.23)

AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 6.0% 9.4% 7.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.4% 11.7% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 44.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1