Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Blackwell Meadows
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.53) 1.46 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 16.9% 18.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Darlington 1883 0 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.6% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDarlington 1883Chester
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack64%43%
Defense50%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Darlington 1883 Chester
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%50%25%50%0%25%
Draws50%25%38%50%25%38%
Loses50%25%38%0%75%38%

Form: Darlington 1883: LWLDDLWD • Chester: WLDLWLDD

League goals

Metric Darlington 1883 Chester
HATHAT
GF total69157310
GF avg1.52.31.91.80.81.3
GA total941351116
GA avg2.31.01.61.32.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDarlington 1883Chester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%75%100%
1.550%50%38%63%
2.525%25%13%25%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDarlington 1883Chester
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricDarlington 1883Chester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDarlington 1883Chester
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-43-2—
Biggest losses1-32-1—4-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricDarlington 1883Chester
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Darlington 1883 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Darlington 1883 = 2.75 (league 1.53), Chester = 1.46 (league 1.26)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Darlington 1883 0 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.6% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1