Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • New Bucks Head
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.49) 2.43 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.8% 19.1% 52.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
7.0%
1 - 3
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Fylde
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Telford United 0 1.8% 4.4% 5.4% 4.4% 2.6% 1.3%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.5% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.7% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.2% 2.9% 3.5% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC Telford UnitedAFC Fylde
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack60%87%
Defense47%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Telford United AFC Fylde
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins50%0%22%75%75%75%
Draws25%40%33%25%0%13%
Loses25%60%44%0%25%13%

Form: AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLL • AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDW

League goals

Metric AFC Telford United AFC Fylde
HATHAT
GF total751281220
GF avg1.81.01.32.03.02.5
GA total410145510
GA avg1.02.01.61.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC Telford UnitedAFC Fylde
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%100%75%
1.533%44%75%50%
2.522%22%50%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC Telford UnitedAFC Fylde
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricAFC Telford UnitedAFC Fylde
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAFC Telford UnitedAFC Fylde
Wins24
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-20-5
Biggest losses0-13-12-1
Goals For3235
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAFC Telford UnitedAFC Fylde
Form35%65%
Att41%59%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total32.2%67.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Fylde

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Telford United = 1.57 (league 1.49), AFC Fylde = 2.43 (league 1.23)

AFC Fylde
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Telford United 0 1.8% 4.4% 5.4% 4.4% 2.6% 1.3%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.5% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.7% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.2% 2.9% 3.5% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.8% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 52.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1