Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • RAW Charging Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.48) 2.90 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 17.3% 43.6%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford City 0 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.2% 5.1% 3.7% 2.1%
2 1.5% 4.2% 6.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5%
3 1.1% 3.3% 4.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.9%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford CityCurzon Ashton
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack53%53%
Defense33%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford City Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%0%22%20%25%22%
Draws0%20%11%20%75%44%
Loses50%80%67%60%0%33%

Form: Oxford City: LWDLLLWLL • Curzon Ashton: DDDLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Oxford City Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
GF total95144711
GF avg2.31.01.60.81.81.2
GA total89177613
GA avg2.01.81.91.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford CityCurzon Ashton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%78%89%
1.533%56%33%44%
2.511%22%11%11%
3.511%11%0%0%
4.511%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford CityCurzon Ashton
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricOxford CityCurzon Ashton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOxford CityCurzon Ashton
Wins11
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-02-3
Biggest losses1-53-20-3
Goals For5223
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricOxford CityCurzon Ashton
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total41.8%58.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Curzon Ashton and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Oxford City = 2.34 (league 1.48), Curzon Ashton = 2.90 (league 1.24)

Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford City 0 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.6% 0.9%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.2% 5.1% 3.7% 2.1%
2 1.5% 4.2% 6.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.5%
3 1.1% 3.3% 4.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.9%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 43.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1