Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • The Brewery Field
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.49) 0.32 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 27.9% 8.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
0 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spennymoor Town 0 19.0% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpennymoor TownSouthport
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack53%20%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spennymoor Town Southport
HATHAT
Played459448
Wins50%60%56%25%0%13%
Draws25%20%22%25%0%13%
Loses25%20%22%50%100%75%

Form: Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWW • Southport: LWLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Spennymoor Town Southport
HATHAT
GF total41014617
GF avg1.02.01.61.50.30.9
GA total57126814
GA avg1.31.41.31.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpennymoor TownSouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%44%50%88%
1.567%33%25%75%
2.522%33%13%13%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpennymoor TownSouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets325101
Failed to score213134

Penalties

MetricSpennymoor TownSouthport
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSpennymoor TownSouthport
Wins21
Draws10
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-1
Biggest losses0-53-02-32-0
Goals For2331
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricSpennymoor TownSouthport
Form89%11%
Att73%27%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total77.4%22.6%

Advice: Double chance : Spennymoor Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Betano
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Spennymoor Town = 1.35 (league 1.49), Southport = 0.32 (league 1.23)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spennymoor Town 0 19.0% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1