Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • The Impact Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.54) 1.78 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.8% 21.8% 66.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 2
15.5%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Spennymoor Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 9.8% 17.4% 15.5% 9.2% 4.1% 1.5%
1 5.3% 9.5% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownSpennymoor Town
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack18%82%
Defense9%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Spennymoor Town
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins25%13%19%63%43%53%
Draws25%38%31%13%29%20%
Loses50%50%50%25%29%27%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWL • Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWWWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Spennymoor Town
HATHAT
GF total5611131225
GF avg0.60.80.71.61.71.7
GA total102030141024
GA avg1.32.51.91.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownSpennymoor Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%81%67%53%
1.513%50%60%40%
2.50%25%20%33%
3.50%13%7%20%
4.50%13%7%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownSpennymoor Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets213527
Failed to score437325

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownSpennymoor Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownSpennymoor Town
Wins14
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-16-40-3
Biggest losses0-36-00-53-0
Goals For2263
Goals Against3653

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownSpennymoor Town
Form36%64%
Att18%82%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spennymoor Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 0.55 (league 1.54), Spennymoor Town = 1.78 (league 1.24)

Spennymoor Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 9.8% 17.4% 15.5% 9.2% 4.1% 1.5%
1 5.3% 9.5% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 66.4%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1