Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
The Impact Arena
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.49)
1.94 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 20.9% | 64.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 2
12.7%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Spennymoor Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfreton Town | 0 | 6.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 25% | 83% |
| Defense | 8% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 20% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWL • Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 13 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 70% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 60% | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alfreton Town | Spennymoor Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Spennymoor Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 0.75 (league 1.49), Spennymoor Town = 1.94 (league 1.23)
| Spennymoor Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alfreton Town | 0 | 6.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 64.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1