Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • The New Eyrie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.56) 2.39 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 19.4% 51.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 1.8% 4.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.3% 6.6% 4.0% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.4% 3.2% 1.6%
3 1.3% 3.1% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBedford TownBuxton
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack82%100%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bedford Town Buxton
HATHAT
Played79169615
Wins29%33%31%56%33%47%
Draws29%22%25%0%33%13%
Loses43%44%44%44%33%40%

Form: Bedford Town: DLWLLLDDLWDWWWLL • Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Bedford Town Buxton
HATHAT
GF total12112319928
GF avg1.71.21.42.11.51.9
GA total14122613922
GA avg2.01.31.61.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBedford TownBuxton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%100%80%
1.550%56%53%60%
2.513%19%13%7%
3.50%6%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBedford TownBuxton
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricBedford TownBuxton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBedford TownBuxton
Wins34
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-26-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-12-32-1
Goals For3262
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricBedford TownBuxton
Form50%50%
Att41%59%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Buxton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bedford Town = 1.63 (league 1.56), Buxton = 2.39 (league 1.26)

Buxton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 1.8% 4.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.3% 6.6% 4.0% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.8% 5.4% 3.2% 1.6%
3 1.3% 3.1% 3.7% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 51.1%

vtt 10 , vtd1