Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.53) 0.79 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.1% 8.6% 4.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.7%
4 - 0
8.6%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Oxford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.6% 6.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyOxford City
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack50%67%
Defense33%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Oxford City
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%40%60%40%0%20%
Draws20%0%10%0%20%10%
Loses0%60%30%60%80%70%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWL • Oxford City: LWDLLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Chorley Oxford City
HATHAT
GF total1572210515
GF avg3.01.42.22.01.01.5
GA total581310919
GA avg1.01.61.32.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyOxford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%90%90%
1.570%50%30%60%
2.560%0%10%20%
3.520%0%10%10%
4.50%0%10%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyOxford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricChorleyOxford City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChorleyOxford City
Wins21
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-45-0—
Biggest losses—2-01-53-2
Goals For4452
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricChorleyOxford City
Form67%33%
Att43%57%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chorley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ Unibet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away6.59 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.23 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 3.53 (league 1.53), Oxford City = 0.79 (league 1.26)

Oxford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.6% 6.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1