Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Penydarren Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.53) 2.56 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.5% 13.7% 75.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 3
11.9%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
South Shields
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 4.3% 10.9% 14.0% 11.9% 7.6% 3.9%
1 2.5% 6.5% 8.3% 7.1% 4.5% 2.3%
2 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerthyr TownSouth Shields
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merthyr Town South Shields
HATHAT
Played79168715
Wins43%67%56%75%71%73%
Draws0%11%6%25%14%20%
Loses57%22%38%0%14%7%

Form: Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWWLDLLWWWW • South Shields: WWWWWDWDWWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Merthyr Town South Shields
HATHAT
GF total92534191231
GF avg1.32.82.12.41.72.1
GA total131831459
GA avg1.92.01.90.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerthyr TownSouth Shields
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%87%47%
1.569%50%73%13%
2.544%38%27%0%
3.519%19%20%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerthyr TownSouth Shields
HATHAT
Clean sheets235538
Failed to score213022

Penalties

MetricMerthyr TownSouth Shields
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMerthyr TownSouth Shields
Wins25
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-02-4
Biggest losses0-54-0—1-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against5622

Model comparison

MetricMerthyr TownSouth Shields
Form55%45%
Att54%46%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or South Shields

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.13 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.75 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merthyr Town = 0.60 (league 1.53), South Shields = 2.56 (league 1.26)

South Shields
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 4.3% 10.9% 14.0% 11.9% 7.6% 3.9%
1 2.5% 6.5% 8.3% 7.1% 4.5% 2.3%
2 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.5% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 75.2%

vtt 6 , vtd1