Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • Haig Avenue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.53) 1.22 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 24.5% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthportChester
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack55%64%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southport Chester
HATHAT
Played79168715
Wins14%33%25%25%29%27%
Draws43%0%19%63%29%47%
Loses43%67%56%13%43%27%

Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWW • Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLDW

League goals

Metric Southport Chester
HATHAT
GF total971612820
GF avg1.30.81.01.51.11.3
GA total101525111324
GA avg1.41.71.61.41.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthportChester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%88%87%93%
1.538%56%40%47%
2.56%13%7%13%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthportChester
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score257022

Penalties

MetricSouthportChester
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSouthportChester
Wins11
Draws15
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-20-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-24-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricSouthportChester
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southport = 1.62 (league 1.53), Chester = 1.22 (league 1.26)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 28.7%

vtt 10 , vtd1