Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Haig Avenue
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.49)
0.97 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6% | 17.3% | 13.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Chester | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southport | 0 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Southport | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 25% | 58% |
| Defense | 25% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Southport | Chester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 78% | 0% | 60% | 30% |
Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDL • Chester: WLDLWLDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Southport | Chester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Southport | Chester | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 78% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Southport | Chester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Southport | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Southport | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Southport | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Chester
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Southport = 2.42 (league 1.49), Chester = 0.97 (league 1.23)
| Chester | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Southport | 0 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.6% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 13.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1