Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.49) 1.59 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 22.9% 35.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.3% 10.0% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuxtonChorley
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack35%39%
Defense70%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buxton Chorley
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins60%20%40%67%40%55%
Draws0%40%20%33%0%18%
Loses40%40%40%0%60%27%

Form: Buxton: WLLWLDLWDW • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLD

League goals

Metric Buxton Chorley
HATHAT
GF total871518725
GF avg1.61.41.53.01.42.3
GA total78158816
GA avg1.41.61.51.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuxtonChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%73%82%
1.550%60%73%55%
2.50%10%64%9%
3.50%0%18%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuxtonChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score000033

Penalties

MetricBuxtonChorley
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBuxtonChorley
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-12-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricBuxtonChorley
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Buxton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buxton = 1.72 (league 1.49), Chorley = 1.59 (league 1.23)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.3% 10.0% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 35.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1