Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Lincoln Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.49) 1.30 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 29.0% 50.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough Sports 0 13.6% 17.6% 11.4% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPeterborough SportsAlfreton Town
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack22%13%
Defense57%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Peterborough Sports Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played5495510
Wins20%25%22%40%0%20%
Draws20%0%11%20%40%30%
Loses60%75%67%40%60%50%

Form: Peterborough Sports: LLDLLWLLW • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWL

League goals

Metric Peterborough Sports Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total268448
GF avg0.41.50.90.80.80.8
GA total1091961319
GA avg2.02.32.11.22.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePeterborough SportsAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%60%80%
1.533%56%20%60%
2.50%56%0%30%
3.50%11%0%10%
4.50%11%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPeterborough SportsAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score404224

Penalties

MetricPeterborough SportsAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPeterborough SportsAlfreton Town
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-0
Biggest losses0-53-10-35-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against5335

Model comparison

MetricPeterborough SportsAlfreton Town
Form60%40%
Att63%38%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total47.5%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : Peterborough Sports or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.71 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Peterborough Sports = 0.70 (league 1.49), Alfreton Town = 1.30 (league 1.23)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough Sports 0 13.6% 17.6% 11.4% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 50.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1