Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • The Impact Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.49) 0.78 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 28.9% 22.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 12.6% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack22%39%
Defense44%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Chester
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%0%18%33%0%18%
Draws20%50%36%67%40%55%
Loses40%50%45%0%60%27%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLD • Chester: WLDLWLDDDDD

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Chester
HATHAT
GF total45910414
GF avg0.80.80.81.70.81.3
GA total6142081220
GA avg1.22.31.81.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownChester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%82%100%
1.518%55%36%55%
2.50%27%9%18%
3.50%9%0%9%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownChester
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-2
Biggest losses0-35-04-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chester

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.26 @ Marathonbet
Away2.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 1.29 (league 1.49), Chester = 0.78 (league 1.23)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 12.6% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 8.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1