Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • The Impact Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.54) 0.77 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 29.4% 23.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 13.2% 10.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.8% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack22%39%
Defense44%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Chester
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%0%18%33%0%18%
Draws20%50%36%67%40%55%
Loses40%50%45%0%60%27%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLD • Chester: WLDLWLDDDDD

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Chester
HATHAT
GF total45910414
GF avg0.80.80.81.70.81.3
GA total6142081220
GA avg1.22.31.81.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownChester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%82%100%
1.518%55%36%55%
2.50%27%9%18%
3.50%9%0%9%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownChester
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-2—
Biggest losses0-35-0—4-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownChester
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chester

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 1.25 (league 1.54), Chester = 0.77 (league 1.24)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 13.2% 10.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.5% 12.8% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1