Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • Edgar Street
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.49) 1.44 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 22.4% 29.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 9.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerefordAFC Telford United
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack44%50%
Defense61%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hereford AFC Telford United
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%33%36%50%0%27%
Draws20%17%18%17%40%27%
Loses40%50%45%33%60%45%

Form: Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWL • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Hereford AFC Telford United
HATHAT
GF total761312517
GF avg1.41.01.22.01.01.5
GA total981781018
GA avg1.81.31.51.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerefordAFC Telford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%82%91%
1.545%45%36%45%
2.50%9%27%27%
3.50%9%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerefordAFC Telford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricHerefordAFC Telford United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHerefordAFC Telford United
Wins22
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-1—
Biggest losses1-42-01-33-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricHerefordAFC Telford United
Form57%43%
Att47%53%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h75%25%
Goals100%0%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Double chance : Hereford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 188Bet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.33 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hereford = 1.88 (league 1.49), AFC Telford United = 1.44 (league 1.25)

AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.8% 9.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1