Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Rossett Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.49) 2.33 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.0% 18.7% 61.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marine 0 3.1% 7.3% 8.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.8%
1 3.5% 8.3% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 2.0%
2 2.0% 4.7% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarineCurzon Ashton
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack33%58%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marine Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%20%40%30%
Draws20%0%10%20%60%40%
Loses40%60%50%60%0%30%

Form: Marine: LWWWLLLLDW • Curzon Ashton: DDDLWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Marine Curzon Ashton
HATHAT
GF total65114913
GF avg1.21.01.10.81.81.3
GA total88167714
GA avg1.61.61.61.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarineCurzon Ashton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%80%90%
1.530%30%40%40%
2.510%20%10%10%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarineCurzon Ashton
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricMarineCurzon Ashton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMarineCurzon Ashton
Wins31
Draws13
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-02-3
Biggest losses1-44-10-3
Goals For2323
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricMarineCurzon Ashton
Form36%64%
Att36%64%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total35.0%65.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Curzon Ashton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betano
Away3.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Marine = 1.13 (league 1.49), Curzon Ashton = 2.33 (league 1.23)

Curzon Ashton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marine 0 3.1% 7.3% 8.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.8%
1 3.5% 8.3% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 2.0%
2 2.0% 4.7% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 61.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1