Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 • Haig Avenue Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.54) 1.81 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.0% 22.0% 39.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.9% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthportChorley
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack17%61%
Defense61%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southport Chorley
HATHAT
Played46106612
Wins25%17%20%67%33%50%
Draws25%0%10%33%0%17%
Loses50%83%70%0%67%33%

Form: Southport: LWLLLLLDLW • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Southport Chorley
HATHAT
GF total63918927
GF avg1.50.50.93.01.52.3
GA total6111781119
GA avg1.51.81.71.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthportChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%90%75%83%
1.530%70%75%58%
2.510%10%58%17%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthportChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score145033

Penalties

MetricSouthportChorley
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSouthportChorley
Wins12
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-0—2-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricSouthportChorley
Form36%64%
Att21%79%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals23%77%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chorley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away2.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southport = 1.76 (league 1.54), Chorley = 1.81 (league 1.24)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southport 0 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.9% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 39.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1