Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Mill Farm
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.53) 1.20 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 25.3% 29.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 6.5% 7.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.9% 12.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeHereford
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack68%37%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde Hereford
HATHAT
Played67136612
Wins50%86%69%33%33%33%
Draws33%0%15%33%17%25%
Loses17%14%15%33%50%42%

Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLWW • Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLD

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde Hereford
HATHAT
GF total1122338614
GF avg1.83.12.51.31.01.2
GA total971610818
GA avg1.51.01.21.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeHereford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%77%75%92%
1.577%38%42%42%
2.546%8%0%8%
3.515%0%0%8%
4.515%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeHereford
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score000123

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeHereford
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeHereford
Wins42
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-52-01-2
Biggest losses2-32-11-42-0
Goals For3522
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeHereford
Form56%44%
Att65%35%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Superbet
Draw4.31 @ Pinnacle
Away5.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 1.53 (league 1.53), Hereford = 1.20 (league 1.25)

Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 6.5% 7.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.9% 12.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.9% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 29.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1