Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
Mill Farm
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.49)
1.21 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 24.9% | 29.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Hereford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 72% | 44% |
| Defense | 67% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hereford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 83% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Loses | 17% | 17% | 17% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLW • Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hereford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 17 | 28 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Fylde | Hereford | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 83% | 73% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 42% | 45% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 8% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hereford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hereford |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 1.57 (league 1.49), Hereford = 1.21 (league 1.23)
| Hereford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Fylde | 0 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 29.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1