Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
The Tarmac Silverlands Stadium
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.49)
0.97 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7% | 14.5% | 10.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Alfreton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buxton | 0 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Buxton | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 22% |
| Defense | 61% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Buxton | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 67% | 20% | 45% | 40% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 18% | 20% | 50% | 36% |
| Loses | 33% | 40% | 36% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Form: Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWW • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Buxton | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Buxton | Alfreton Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 82% | 64% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 64% | 18% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Buxton | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Buxton | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Buxton | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Buxton | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.7% |
Advice: Winner : Buxton
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Buxton = 2.79 (league 1.49), Alfreton Town = 0.97 (league 1.23)
| Alfreton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buxton | 0 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 10.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1