Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Blackwell Meadows
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.49) 0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 23.9% 17.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Darlington 1883 0 8.3% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDarlington 1883Southport
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack21%21%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Darlington 1883 Southport
HATHAT
Played57125611
Wins0%43%25%20%17%18%
Draws60%14%33%40%0%18%
Loses40%43%42%40%83%64%

Form: Darlington 1883: LWLDDLWDDLWL • Southport: LWLLLLLDLWD

League goals

Metric Darlington 1883 Southport
HATHAT
GF total711187310
GF avg1.41.61.51.40.50.9
GA total1081871118
GA avg2.01.11.51.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDarlington 1883Southport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%83%55%91%
1.533%42%27%64%
2.517%25%9%9%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDarlington 1883Southport
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score011145

Penalties

MetricDarlington 1883Southport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDarlington 1883Southport
Wins11
Draws21
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-43-11-2
Biggest losses1-33-12-32-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricDarlington 1883Southport
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h62%38%
Goals71%29%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Darlington 1883 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Darlington 1883 = 1.69 (league 1.49), Southport = 0.80 (league 1.25)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Darlington 1883 0 8.3% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 17.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1