Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • The Tarmac Silverlands Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.49) 0.42 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.8% 8.5% 2.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
14.5%
4 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.5% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.8% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.3% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuxtonSouthport
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%45%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buxton Southport
HATHAT
Played76137714
Wins71%33%54%14%14%14%
Draws0%33%15%43%0%21%
Loses29%33%31%43%86%64%

Form: Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWW • Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLD

League goals

Metric Buxton Southport
HATHAT
GF total179269312
GF avg2.41.52.01.30.40.9
GA total9918101323
GA avg1.31.51.41.41.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuxtonSouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%77%50%86%
1.562%54%29%64%
2.515%8%7%14%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuxtonSouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score000257

Penalties

MetricBuxtonSouthport
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBuxtonSouthport
Wins11
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-23-11-2
Biggest losses2-32-12-32-0
Goals For6232
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricBuxtonSouthport
Form72%28%
Att74%26%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Winner : Buxton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Unibet
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away6.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ SBO
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buxton = 3.06 (league 1.49), Southport = 0.42 (league 1.25)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.5% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.5% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.8% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.3% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.8% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 2.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1