Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • Tameside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.53) 1.37 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 27.5% 46.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Spennymoor Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Curzon Ashton 0 10.1% 13.7% 9.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCurzon AshtonSpennymoor Town
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense45%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Curzon Ashton Spennymoor Town
HATHAT
Played78157613
Wins43%38%40%57%50%54%
Draws14%50%33%14%17%15%
Loses43%13%27%29%33%31%

Form: Curzon Ashton: DDDLWLWDLWWLWWD • Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Curzon Ashton Spennymoor Town
HATHAT
GF total81826121022
GF avg1.12.31.71.71.71.7
GA total7132014822
GA avg1.01.61.32.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCurzon AshtonSpennymoor Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%62%54%
1.553%40%62%38%
2.527%20%23%38%
3.57%0%8%23%
4.50%0%8%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCurzon AshtonSpennymoor Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets314426
Failed to score202325

Penalties

MetricCurzon AshtonSpennymoor Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCurzon AshtonSpennymoor Town
Wins24
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-46-40-3
Biggest losses0-33-20-53-0
Goals For3463
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricCurzon AshtonSpennymoor Town
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals30%70%
Total49.2%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : Curzon Ashton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.41 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Curzon Ashton = 0.93 (league 1.53), Spennymoor Town = 1.37 (league 1.25)

Spennymoor Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Curzon Ashton 0 10.1% 13.7% 9.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.4% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 46.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1