Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • The New Eyrie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.49) 3.54 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.4% 13.9% 53.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.1%
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 4
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.7% 3.2% 2.8% 2.0%
1 0.8% 2.9% 5.1% 6.1% 5.4% 3.8%
2 0.8% 2.8% 4.9% 5.8% 5.1% 3.6%
3 0.5% 1.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBedford TownMerthyr Town
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack33%72%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bedford Town Merthyr Town
HATHAT
Played69157815
Wins33%33%33%43%63%53%
Draws33%22%27%0%13%7%
Loses33%44%40%57%25%40%

Form: Bedford Town: DLWLLLDDLWDWWWL • Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWWLDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Bedford Town Merthyr Town
HATHAT
GF total9112092130
GF avg1.51.21.31.32.62.0
GA total101222131528
GA avg1.71.31.51.91.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBedford TownMerthyr Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%80%67%
1.547%53%67%47%
2.57%13%40%33%
3.50%0%13%20%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBedford TownMerthyr Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricBedford TownMerthyr Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBedford TownMerthyr Town
Wins32
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-54-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3356

Model comparison

MetricBedford TownMerthyr Town
Form53%47%
Att32%68%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.3%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Merthyr Town and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ 188Bet
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bedford Town = 1.91 (league 1.49), Merthyr Town = 3.54 (league 1.25)

Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 0.4% 1.5% 2.7% 3.2% 2.8% 2.0%
1 0.8% 2.9% 5.1% 6.1% 5.4% 3.8%
2 0.8% 2.8% 4.9% 5.8% 5.1% 3.6%
3 0.5% 1.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.3% 2.3%
4 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 53.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1