Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Edgar Street
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.53) 0.92 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 22.1% 17.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 0
10.8%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.5% 10.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHerefordSouthport
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack33%28%
Defense39%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hereford Southport
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins29%25%27%14%25%20%
Draws43%13%27%43%0%20%
Loses29%63%47%43%75%60%

Form: Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDL • Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDW

League goals

Metric Hereford Southport
HATHAT
GF total117189514
GF avg1.60.91.21.30.60.9
GA total131326101424
GA avg1.91.61.71.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHerefordSouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%93%53%87%
1.540%53%33%60%
2.57%20%7%13%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHerefordSouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score134257

Penalties

MetricHerefordSouthport
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHerefordSouthport
Wins21
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-11-2
Biggest losses1-43-02-32-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricHerefordSouthport
Form29%71%
Att55%45%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Hereford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away4.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hereford = 1.88 (league 1.53), Southport = 0.92 (league 1.25)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hereford 0 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.5% 10.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 17.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1