Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.54) 1.35 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 22.0% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bedford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 3.7% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.2% 9.7% 6.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyBedford Town
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack17%48%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Bedford Town
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%22%35%38%33%35%
Draws25%22%24%25%22%24%
Loses25%56%41%38%44%41%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLD • Bedford Town: DLWLLLDDLWDWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Chorley Bedford Town
HATHAT
GF total181331151126
GF avg2.31.41.81.91.21.5
GA total111627141226
GA avg1.41.81.61.81.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyBedford Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%82%76%
1.559%59%53%53%
2.541%12%18%18%
3.512%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyBedford Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricChorleyBedford Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricChorleyBedford Town
Wins23
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-33-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricChorleyBedford Town
Form18%82%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bedford Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 188Bet
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away4.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.95 (league 1.54), Bedford Town = 1.35 (league 1.24)

Bedford Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 3.7% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.2% 9.7% 6.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 26.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1