Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Deva Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.56) 0.86 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 24.6% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chester 0 8.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterHereford
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack50%38%
Defense63%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chester Hereford
HATHAT
Played98178816
Wins33%25%29%25%25%25%
Draws56%38%47%38%13%25%
Loses11%38%24%38%63%50%

Form: Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLDWDW • Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Chester Hereford
HATHAT
GF total14102412719
GF avg1.61.31.41.50.91.2
GA total111526151328
GA avg1.21.91.51.91.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterHereford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%75%94%
1.547%47%38%56%
2.56%12%6%19%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterHereford
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricChesterHereford
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricChesterHereford
Wins12
Draws52
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-43-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricChesterHereford
Form80%20%
Att57%43%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chester or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away3.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chester = 1.64 (league 1.56), Hereford = 0.86 (league 1.26)

Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chester 0 8.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.5% 11.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 19.6%

vtt 7 , vtd1