Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.53) 1.35 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 22.2% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Spennymoor Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 3.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.3% 9.9% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleySpennymoor Town
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack25%25%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Spennymoor Town
HATHAT
Played99188917
Wins56%22%39%63%33%47%
Draws22%22%22%13%22%18%
Loses22%56%39%25%44%35%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDW • Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWWWWLLDWLL

League goals

Metric Chorley Spennymoor Town
HATHAT
GF total191332131326
GF avg2.11.41.81.61.41.5
GA total111627141327
GA avg1.21.81.51.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleySpennymoor Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%65%59%
1.556%56%53%41%
2.539%11%18%29%
3.511%0%6%18%
4.50%0%6%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleySpennymoor Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets303527
Failed to score235336

Penalties

MetricChorleySpennymoor Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricChorleySpennymoor Town
Wins24
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-46-40-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-53-0
Goals For4463
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricChorleySpennymoor Town
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h80%20%
Goals77%23%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chorley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 10Bet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.92 (league 1.53), Spennymoor Town = 1.35 (league 1.25)

Spennymoor Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 3.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.3% 9.9% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 9.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1