Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Mounting Systems Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.59 (league 1.54) 0.51 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.9% 6.4% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.8%
4 - 0
11.5%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Scarborough Athletic 0 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.7% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricScarborough AthleticAlfreton Town
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack25%38%
Defense25%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Scarborough Athletic Alfreton Town
HATHAT
Played79169918
Wins86%33%56%33%11%22%
Draws0%22%13%22%33%28%
Loses14%44%31%44%56%50%

Form: Scarborough Athletic: LWDWWWWDWWWLLLLW • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Scarborough Athletic Alfreton Town
HATHAT
GF total1312257815
GF avg1.91.31.60.80.90.8
GA total51722112637
GA avg0.71.91.41.22.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineScarborough AthleticAlfreton Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%61%83%
1.556%31%22%50%
2.519%13%0%28%
3.50%13%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricScarborough AthleticAlfreton Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score033437

Penalties

MetricScarborough AthleticAlfreton Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricScarborough AthleticAlfreton Town
Wins41
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-24-00-36-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricScarborough AthleticAlfreton Town
Form30%70%
Att40%60%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alfreton Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away4.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Scarborough Athletic = 3.59 (league 1.54), Alfreton Town = 0.51 (league 1.24)

Alfreton Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Scarborough Athletic 0 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.7% 5.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 6.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.9% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1