Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • The Impact Arena
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.53) 0.77 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 34.5% 29.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 19.1% 14.7% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlfreton TownSouthport
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack36%71%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alfreton Town Southport
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%10%21%20%33%26%
Draws22%40%32%50%0%26%
Loses44%50%47%30%67%47%

Form: Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLD • Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDW

League goals

Metric Alfreton Town Southport
HATHAT
GF total781515722
GF avg0.80.80.81.50.81.2
GA total112637141529
GA avg1.22.61.91.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlfreton TownSouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%79%63%84%
1.521%47%47%58%
2.50%26%5%11%
3.50%16%0%0%
4.50%16%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlfreton TownSouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets224303
Failed to score448257

Penalties

MetricAlfreton TownSouthport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlfreton TownSouthport
Wins12
Draws12
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-11-2
Biggest losses0-36-02-32-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3632

Model comparison

MetricAlfreton TownSouthport
Form39%61%
Att33%67%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southport

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alfreton Town = 0.89 (league 1.53), Southport = 0.77 (league 1.25)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alfreton Town 0 19.1% 14.7% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 29.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1