Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • The New Eyrie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.53) 2.31 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 19.8% 50.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Darlington 1883
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 2.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.5% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBedford TownDarlington 1883
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack57%100%
Defense29%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.616 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bedford Town Darlington 1883
HATHAT
Played8111910919
Wins38%27%32%40%44%42%
Draws25%18%21%40%11%26%
Loses38%55%47%20%44%32%

Form: Bedford Town: DLWLLLDDLWDWWWLLWLL • Darlington 1883: LWLDDLWDDLWLWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Bedford Town Darlington 1883
HATHAT
GF total151227231437
GF avg1.91.11.42.31.61.9
GA total141630161228
GA avg1.81.51.61.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBedford TownDarlington 1883
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%95%79%
1.547%53%47%42%
2.516%21%26%26%
3.50%5%16%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBedford TownDarlington 1883
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricBedford TownDarlington 1883
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBedford TownDarlington 1883
Wins34
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-11-4
Biggest losses0-33-11-33-1
Goals For3254
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricBedford TownDarlington 1883
Form19%81%
Att33%67%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Darlington 1883 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ 188Bet
No2.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bedford Town = 1.61 (league 1.53), Darlington 1883 = 2.31 (league 1.25)

Darlington 1883
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bedford Town 0 2.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.5% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 50.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1