Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Aggborough Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.53) 1.78 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 22.5% 40.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kidderminster Harriers 0 3.3% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.4% 9.5% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7%
3 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKidderminster HarriersChorley
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack43%29%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kidderminster Harriers Chorley
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%30%37%50%22%37%
Draws33%40%37%30%22%26%
Loses22%30%26%20%56%37%

Form: Kidderminster Harriers: WDDLWWWDDLLDWWDWLDL • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Kidderminster Harriers Chorley
HATHAT
GF total131023191332
GF avg1.41.01.21.91.41.7
GA total141125111627
GA avg1.61.11.31.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKidderminster HarriersChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%74%68%79%
1.521%42%53%53%
2.55%5%37%11%
3.50%5%11%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKidderminster HarriersChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets235404
Failed to score011336

Penalties

MetricKidderminster HarriersChorley
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricKidderminster HarriersChorley
Wins32
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-14-01-4
Biggest losses1-52-00-22-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against5233

Model comparison

MetricKidderminster HarriersChorley
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chorley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kidderminster Harriers = 1.65 (league 1.53), Chorley = 1.78 (league 1.26)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kidderminster Harriers 0 3.3% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.4% 9.5% 8.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7%
3 2.4% 4.3% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 40.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1