Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • The Tarmac Silverlands Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.53) 1.55 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 20.3% 26.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.1% 7.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuxtonAFC Telford United
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack47%80%
Defense27%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buxton AFC Telford United
HATHAT
Played101020111021
Wins50%30%40%45%10%29%
Draws0%30%15%27%50%38%
Loses50%40%45%27%40%33%

Form: Buxton: WLLWLDLWDWWWWLLLWLLD • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDW

League goals

Metric Buxton AFC Telford United
HATHAT
GF total201535231336
GF avg2.01.51.82.11.31.7
GA total151833161733
GA avg1.51.81.71.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuxtonAFC Telford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%85%90%90%
1.555%65%48%43%
2.510%15%24%19%
3.55%0%10%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuxtonAFC Telford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricBuxtonAFC Telford United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBuxtonAFC Telford United
Wins42
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-24-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-02-43-1
Goals For6243
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricBuxtonAFC Telford United
Form31%69%
Att37%63%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Telford United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ William Hill
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buxton = 2.22 (league 1.53), AFC Telford United = 1.55 (league 1.26)

AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buxton 0 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.1% 7.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 4.2% 6.5% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 26.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1