Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Victory Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.53) 0.87 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.0% 23.5% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.1% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyHereford
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack33%47%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Hereford
HATHAT
Played10112181018
Wins50%18%33%25%30%28%
Draws30%27%29%38%20%28%
Loses20%55%38%38%50%44%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLD • Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLLDW

League goals

Metric Chorley Hereford
HATHAT
GF total191534121022
GF avg1.91.41.61.51.01.2
GA total112031151429
GA avg1.11.81.51.91.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyHereford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%81%78%89%
1.548%52%39%50%
2.533%14%6%17%
3.510%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyHereford
HATHAT
Clean sheets404112
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricChorleyHereford
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricChorleyHereford
Wins22
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-43-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricChorleyHereford
Form55%45%
Att42%58%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chorley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.32 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.74 (league 1.53), Hereford = 0.87 (league 1.26)

Hereford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.1% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1