Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Mill Farm
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.53) 1.66 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 19.6% 26.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeChorley
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack71%50%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde Chorley
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%82%68%55%18%36%
Draws18%0%9%27%27%27%
Loses27%18%23%18%55%36%

Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLWWWWLWLWWWL • Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDW

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde Chorley
HATHAT
GF total222749231538
GF avg2.02.52.22.11.41.7
GA total17926132033
GA avg1.50.81.21.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeChorley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%73%73%82%
1.564%32%50%55%
2.536%9%36%14%
3.514%5%14%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeChorley
HATHAT
Clean sheets246404
Failed to score011336

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeChorley
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeChorley
Wins42
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-54-01-4
Biggest losses2-42-10-23-1
Goals For5544
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeChorley
Form53%47%
Att59%41%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.26 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.35 (league 1.53), Chorley = 1.66 (league 1.26)

Chorley
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.8% 3.0% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 26.4%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1