Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • New Bucks Head
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.53) 1.78 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 20.4% 30.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Telford United 0 1.9% 3.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.1% 7.3% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.3% 5.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChester
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack100%75%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Telford United Chester
HATHAT
Played111122111021
Wins45%18%32%27%40%33%
Draws27%45%36%55%30%43%
Loses27%36%32%18%30%24%

Form: AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWW • Chester: WLDLWLDDDDDWLDWDWDWWL

League goals

Metric AFC Telford United Chester
HATHAT
GF total231538161531
GF avg2.11.41.71.51.51.5
GA total161733151631
GA avg1.51.51.51.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC Telford UnitedChester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%86%90%86%
1.550%41%48%43%
2.523%18%10%14%
3.59%5%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChester
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChester
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChester
Wins22
Draws25
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-01-3
Biggest losses2-43-11-34-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricAFC Telford UnitedChester
Form52%48%
Att59%41%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h25%75%
Goals27%73%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chester

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Telford United = 2.20 (league 1.53), Chester = 1.78 (league 1.26)

Chester
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Telford United 0 1.9% 3.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
1 4.1% 7.3% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.3% 5.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1