Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Rossett Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.53) 1.07 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 30.7% 37.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marine 0 13.4% 14.3% 7.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarineSouthport
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack36%57%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marine Southport
HATHAT
Played111021111122
Wins36%50%43%18%27%23%
Draws18%20%19%55%18%36%
Loses45%30%38%27%55%41%

Form: Marine: LWWWLLLLDWLWWLDWWDWLD • Southport: LWLLLLLDLWDLLDWWDDWDDD

League goals

Metric Marine Southport
HATHAT
GF total101222161026
GF avg0.91.21.01.50.91.2
GA total161228151833
GA avg1.51.21.31.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarineSouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%81%68%86%
1.533%24%45%55%
2.55%14%5%9%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarineSouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets224303
Failed to score527257

Penalties

MetricMarineSouthport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMarineSouthport
Wins32
Draws12
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-44-12-32-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricMarineSouthport
Form53%47%
Att38%62%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h36%64%
Goals25%75%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southport

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Betano
Away3.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marine = 0.94 (league 1.53), Southport = 1.07 (league 1.26)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marine 0 13.4% 14.3% 7.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.6% 13.5% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 37.9%

vtt 11 , vtd1