Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 13:00 • RAW Charging Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.54) 2.76 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 17.8% 44.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.4%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford City 0 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.5% 4.2% 5.8% 5.3% 3.7% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford CityMerthyr Town
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack50%100%
Defense42%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford City Merthyr Town
HATHAT
Played121123111122
Wins42%0%22%64%64%64%
Draws8%36%22%0%9%5%
Loses50%64%57%36%27%32%

Form: Oxford City: LWDLLLWLLLDLLDLWWLDLLWD • Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWWLDLLWWWWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Oxford City Merthyr Town
HATHAT
GF total231033242751
GF avg1.90.91.42.22.52.3
GA total172239182038
GA avg1.42.01.71.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford CityMerthyr Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%83%82%77%
1.530%48%73%41%
2.517%22%45%27%
3.59%13%23%14%
4.59%4%5%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford CityMerthyr Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricOxford CityMerthyr Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricOxford CityMerthyr Town
Wins28
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—6-20-3
Biggest losses1-54-00-54-0
Goals For5364
Goals Against5456

Model comparison

MetricOxford CityMerthyr Town
Form29%71%
Att30%70%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Merthyr Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford City = 2.22 (league 1.54), Merthyr Town = 2.76 (league 1.27)

Merthyr Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford City 0 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
1 1.5% 4.2% 5.8% 5.3% 3.7% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 44.3%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1