Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • Victory Park
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.53) 1.14 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 24.4% 26.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 6.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.6% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChorleyMarine
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack32%37%
Defense63%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chorley Marine
HATHAT
Played111223121022
Wins55%17%35%42%50%45%
Draws27%25%26%17%20%18%
Loses18%58%39%42%30%36%

Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWL • Marine: LWWWLLLLDWLWWLDWWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Chorley Marine
HATHAT
GF total231538141226
GF avg2.11.31.71.21.21.2
GA total132134181230
GA avg1.21.81.51.51.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChorleyMarine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%83%68%82%
1.548%52%36%27%
2.535%13%9%14%
3.513%0%5%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChorleyMarine
HATHAT
Clean sheets404224
Failed to score347527

Penalties

MetricChorleyMarine
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricChorleyMarine
Wins23
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-21-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-44-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricChorleyMarine
Form38%62%
Att46%54%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marine

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.65 (league 1.53), Marine = 1.14 (league 1.26)

Marine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chorley 0 6.1% 7.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.6% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 26.3%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1